It is difficult to watch or read the news without hearing about political divisions in the US. Whether they’re talking Democrats, Republicans, Libertarians, or the Green Party, there seems to be a lot of disagreement out there. However, we here at MSW●ARS Research have discovered factions you may not have even known existed until now – with consumer categories. As a fun repurposing of the data we collect using our Brand Strength Monitor platform, we are getting to the bottom of this – one category at a time.

Throughout the 2016 US Presidential Election season we’re sharing some “voting” results. Instead of the traditional red state/blue state/swing state format, we’re looking at “voting” results for some of the more than 60 categories on The Brand Strength Monitor Dashboard to determine which brand would win an election versus its category competitors.

Instead of simply looking at the “popular vote” across thousands of respondents, we decided it would be a lot of fun to look at results by state Electoral College votes – similar to how the US actually elects its president every four years.

In the heat of the summer of an election year, little is certain. That is, unless you’re wondering what is the most popular Toilet Paper in the US. When compared to the election results we have already shared for Light Beer and especially Bottled Water, there is not nearly as much drama with the Toilet Paper category (aka Bathroom Tissue). It is very much The Charmin Show, though other brands put up a fight in various regions of the country – including one that is able to capture a handful of states in a particular area.

  • Charmin wins in a landslide that is close to those seen for Franklin D. Roosevelt in the 1930s or Ronald Reagan in 1980s – coming on top in 45 of 50 states (plus DC).
    • These include very large margins of victory in every part of the country: 25 points in Texas (South), 19 points in Florida (East), 26 points in Washington (West), and 18 points in Michigan (Midwest) – just to name some.
    • Charmin wins every state in the Pacific, Mountain, and Central Time Zones, as well as Alaska and Hawaii.
  • Scott tissue, founded in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania way back in the day, comes out on top in a handful of Northeastern states, but still finishes a distant second to Charmin nationally.
    • However, Scott’s strength in the Northeast is the clearest challenge to Charmin nationwide as they win the large states of New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey.
    • In addition, Scott also narrowly loses a nail biter to Charmin in Massachusetts, the largest remaining Northeastern state. They also over-index versus their national average in Maryland and Virginia, which would have expanded wins further down into the Mid-Atlantic region.
  • Please note that this did in fact include other popular brands like Angel Soft, Cottonelle, and Quilted Northern, and while they oftentimes have good showings from state-to-state, they are not able to capture an electoral college vote. This is part of the cruel nature of using the electoral college approach where you can be a solid 2nd or 3rd place in most states and not have a lot to show for it in the electoral vote count. A recent example of this occurred in 1992 when impactful third party candidate Ross Perot garnered nearly 20% of the national vote, but did not come on top in any individual state. It is entirely possible to be an impactful brand in a category without winning any electoral votes in this approach.
    • For instance:
      • Angel Soft has their best showings in some Southern states such as South Carolina, Kentucky, and Tennessee – each with 20%+ choice for them.
      • Cottonelle fares best in the middle of the country while achieving 20%+ choice in Arkansas, Iowa, and Nebraska.
      • Quilted Northern achieves 20%+ in Mississippi, though nationally they tend to do their best in the Midwest (ex: Missouri, Wisconsin) and interior West (ex: Wyoming).
  • Keep in mind that this exercise measures brand preference and does not necessarily account for pricing and distribution. However, when combined with pricing and distribution data, TBSM brand preference data is very predictive of a brand’s market share. If you are seeing an outage in your pricing, distribution, and market share, TBSM has been proven to help fill in that gap.
  • As previously mentioned, this data is a by-product of what we standardly collect in our TBSM (The Brand Strength Monitor) platform. It is the ONLY independently validated measure of brand value – available for a fraction of the cost of almost all brand health studies these days.
  • Each month, we collect 1,000 respondents for each category, which standardly include roughly the following demographic breakouts for brand choice and category penetration:
    • Females: 500
    • Males: 500
    • African-Americans: ~130
    • Hispanics: ~100
    • Millennials (Age 35 and Under): ~400
    • Non-Millennials (Age 36 and Over): ~600

    In addition, the following demographics are also standardly available in many different splits:

    • Yes/No Children in Household
      • If Yes, Age of Children in Household
    • Education Level
      • Some High School, High School Diploma, Bachelor’s Degree, Master’s Degree, etc.
    • Income Level
      • Split 15 ways from $7,500 or less to $200,000 or more
    • Marital Status
      • Single, Married, Domestic Partnership, Divorced, etc.
    • States (as we used in our map above)
      • All 50 states + DC, as well as custom regions – if desired

    The brands included in this Toilet Paper exercise are:

    • Charmin
    • Scott
    • Angel Soft
    • Cottonelle
    • Quilted Northern
    • Kirkland Signature
    • White Cloud
    • Seventh Generation
    • Other
    • Marcal
    • Up & Up

    MSW●ARS is already tracking this data for the following categories. Let us know if you see one you are interested in, or if you would like us to begin tracking your category:

    • Antiperspirants/Deodorants (Women)
    • Antiperspirants/Deodorants (Men)
    • Analgesics, Internal
    • Athletic Shoes (Women)
    • Athletic Shoes (Men)
    • Auto Insurance
    • Bank Services
    • Bar Soap
    • Bathroom Tissue
    • Bleach or Laundry Whiteners
    • Blue Jeans (Women)
    • Blue Jeans (Men)
    • Body Lotions (Women)
    • Body Lotions (Men)
    • Bottled Water
    • Breakfast Bars
    • Cable or Satellite TV Subscriptions
    • Caramel/Toffee Snacks
    • Casual Dining Restaurants
    • Cell Phone Carriers
    • Chewing Gum
    • Chocolate Candy
    • Cloud Data Storage
    • Coffee Machines
    • Credit Cards
    • Energy Drinks
    • Fabric Softeners
    • Facial Moisturizers for Women
    • Facial Tissue
    • Fitness Trackers
    • Frozen Entrees
    • Hair Coloring (Women)
    • Hair Coloring (Men)
    • Hair Dryers
    • Home/Renters Insurance
    • Hotels
    • Ice Cream
    • Kitchen Cleaners
    • Laptop Computers
    • Laundry Detergent
    • Life Insurance
    • Light Beer
    • Liquid Hand Soap
    • Mayonnaise
    • Microwave Ovens
    • Microwave Popcorn
    • Mouthwash
    • Online Movies/TV/Video Streaming Services
    • Orange Juice
    • Packaged Coffee
    • Personal Computers
    • Products from a Big Box Retailer
    • Quick Serve Restaurants
    • Salty Snacks
    • Sedans
    • Smart Watches
    • Smartphones
    • Streaming Media Players
    • Tablet Computers
    • Tea
    • Televisions
    • Trucks
    • Yogurt

    If you see some data you would like to see expanded upon, please send us a note at sales@thebrandstrengthmonitor.com.

    Thank you for reading and we will continue to release maps for new categories as the 2016 US Presidential Election approaches.